warrenslo said:
I'm still lurking but nobody has changed my mind. The roof anchor work caused the penthouse roof to collapse onto the pool deck.
Your theory is far more probable than some here want to admit. Nobody has accounted for the report that Elena Blasser, living in Penthouse 11 (12th story, x11 stack), was awoken by loud creaking noises at approximately 3 or 4 AM the day before the collapse. Her son said that she was so disturbed by this loud creaking noise (as in, it was not a normal occurrence for a person that had lived in the building for years) that she was unable to go back to sleep. Considering nobody else in the building reported hearing "creaking noises" would suggest that she was the closest in proximity to the source of the noise. She was directly below the section of the building that appears to be missing a parapet in the security camera collapse video. In the days leading up to the loud creaking noises, contractors were attaching davits to the roof slab and load testing them. The Association Reserve report from 2020 noted cracking at the parapets and the engineer instructed contractors to inspect and repair any damage to the roof slab. Sara Nir stated that she first heard noises at 12:45 AM and that those noises seemed to be coming from ABOVE her. She said those noises continued for at least 25 minutes and became increasingly loud. At 1:10 AM she said she heard a sound that she described as a "wall collapsed" in the condo ABOVE her. She then went to the lobby and that is when the garage collapsed (1:15 AM). She observed activity that she thought was coming from above her for a half hour before she states she saw the garage collapse.
The argument challenging the roof theory is that nobody called 911 from the top floors -- there were many calls made to 911 that the media did not mention in any of their reports. In one call placed to 911 from the building, the operator answered the call and the call was disconnected, as though the caller was caught a collapse at while making the call (1:17:06 AM). Others could have been sleeping when the structure above started to fail (if that's indeed where it started).
There is a reason Allyn Kilsheimer was taking core samples from the penthouse. He knows better than to simply dismiss the noises Elena Blasser heard the day before the collapse, the video showing a missing parapet, and the fact that contractors were actively working on the roof in the days leading up to the collapse.
Entertaining the idea that the series of events began at the roof doesn't mean that the building collapse wasn't caused by column failures at the garage level. A failure at the roof could have triggered the events at the pool deck. There's no justification for ignoring evidence pointing to the roof.
Santos81 said:
The overflow scuppers were not the primary RW drainage outlets for the roof or UPH parapet balcony. Their base elevation was 7” above TOS and incorporate spring loaded doors.
I don't see spring loaded doors. It appears that the scuppers were no more than 5" above the top of the gravel/flood coat.