Hi everyone,
New here, but have been following these threads since the beginning. Such a fascinating discussion, thanks for everything so far.
I wanted to go back to the Ring video from unit 711 because I think it's one of the most interesting pieces of evidence. Someone in a previous post noted that the direction of the falling debris changed over the course of the video, which may indicate the room is actually tilting. I hadn't considered that before, and wanted to investigate a bit further.
I've created a few GIFs of the Ring video which may be relevant to the discussion of whether the column in the parking garage is indeed missing.
First, I made a very short GIF combining the first frame (which I suspect was captured by the Ring cam before anything happened - nothing seems out of place) and the last frame only, to demonstrate how much of the room has changed over the 13 second duration.
It's obvious that the formerly rectilinear room has become quite deformed in the last frame. In particular, it looks like the entire floor is sliding to the left (or the ceiling sliding to the right), causing the wall on the left and the drywall column between the unit doors and kitchen to become noticeably angled. Also, the couch and the refrigerator (EDIT: not the stainless steel refrigerator, but whatever the black rectangular shape against the right wall is) on the right side seem to actually lift up. The refrigerator seems to move up quite a bit.
I suspect the movement of the black-refrigerator-looking object and couch on the right are due to the south side of the room falling, while the east-west column line, which runs right next to the black object, is not falling (or not as much), causing the black object and part of the couch to seem like they are lifting upwards.
Next, I took the Ring video and sped it up by about 8x, which exposes how the building is slowly, but actively, deforming under some sort of unsupported load condition:
Finally, circling back to the theory that the room is tilting during this time, I roughly rotated the view to match the direction of the falling material from above. One thing I'm not certain of, could this change in direction be simply due to a breeze in the room? I doubt the windows were open, but maybe they've broken by this time. If this is due to wind, then this theory falls apart, but if it's actually indicating the direction of gravity, then I think the room is tilting during the duration of the video. I had to reduce the framerate here to keep the file size down.
It seems like a pretty extreme angle of course, but what's interesting is the right wall here is exactly on the column line we've been scrutinizing in the Tik Tok video. Seems like structural changes along that line may be impacting this room (unit 711). Also, this would explain the strange snapping and movement of the TV box, and sort of rationalizes the strange lateral shifting of the floor and ceiling.
This video makes me think something has shifted so significantly in the building structure - several seconds before progressive collapse - that this room is both severely deformed and possibly tilted, and the collapse has already started, albeit very slowly. A missing column at the building line could cause this, but I know the column some think may be missing is actually only supporting the pool deck, one bay to the south. I don't think that column alone would cause the entire building envelope to sag, but maybe if it is missing, or if the pool deck collapse had also destroyed another column nearby, or some beam/connection at the building envelope and pool deck, it could be causing the entire facade of the x11 stack to start sagging? Perhaps there would be slow, visible movement of the facade in the exterior surveillance video, but it's too subtle to trigger recording until the moment the collapse picks up speed? This could also account for the alleged missing penthouse level in the video - maybe this facade has been slowly sagging for several seconds and descended many feet before the progressive collapse begins.
Probably a stretch, but I'd be curious to hear real engineers' thoughts on what's happening in this video. How is the structure twisting and deforming to cause what we see in the Ring video?