I don't have any opinions on what the trigger was, but after reading through all of these threads a few bits of info haven't been mentioned yet.
In one of the permits dated 5/17/2021 they did some roof core testing and found a lot of "water affected roof materials."
You can see them graph this out on the map as well in the permit. Kind of makes you wonder if this is the "curious" thing he found.. although, it doesn't seem that curious to me. It is the one thing he actually documents about the concrete that seems like it'd fit though.
These are both from this permit -
It just seems odd that all they did was re-tar the roof before sticking a roof anchor right into the most effected spot on that map, only a month later. They mention ponding on the roof, and it looks like it's probably draining into the building right where that column is. Also, in a 3/3/1994 electrical inspection on the building they have a note that says "MIDDLE ROOF FACING SOUTH AND HIGHEST LEVEL OF ROOF NOT FINISHED" but there's no real info on when it was finished or what wasn't finished exactly.
At least two of the roof anchors were never installed, P21 and P23. Makes you wonder if they stopped for a reason, since they were already up there and mounted two of them in that spot.
You can see them missing on the right side of the highest spot of the building. I actually had to check the google satellite view too, but there were no pieces of that section of roof that fell.. so they must have not installed them.
In this article they also have an interesting photo near the very end -
(It's behind a paywall, but if you use an incognito window to load it it'll let you read it even if you've reached your max articles.)
It's taken from 409 and shows some broken up tile behind one of the planters that's probably over a column (the one that's between parking spots 24 and 31 and doesn't seem like it as part of the collapse), but mostly it makes it really clear the sort of view that Cassondra had when she called her husband. Seems like she would have seen the patio to 111 pretty easily, or anything falling from the roof.
Also, I also dug up an old photo of the garage on google street view and lightened it, and I think it's pretty clear that we would be able to see the column in the tiktok video if it was still standing.. and it confirms that it's exactly where those rectangular pieces are in that video. It's hard to see in this pic, but there's definitely a light spot where it is on the plans. If a car did hit this column too, we wouldn't be able to see it's license plates on the other side of the standing column. Perhaps it's obvious that it's missing, but I was a bit curious if the old plans even matched the basement column layout.