Odd, that 2020 budget report doesn't seem to be in any of their public docs on either site. Is there a link to it somewhere?
There's also one thing I've been a bit curious about, and I haven't found a good explanation for it. I'm not a structural engineer at all, but I always assumed that the columns in the tiktok video were what initiated the collapse and not the columns that are circled in blue here:
I think that we might have misunderstood some crucial bits of those videos at the start of the thread.. which is pretty understandable because they're hard to interpret cleanly. The blue column (78 + 80) theory seems to mostly hinge on the surveillance camera footage from next door. But if you assume those top center lights that are on are from the 9th floor and that it hasn't fallen much when it starts, the angle they are at hints that they are actually level with each other in the first frame. A few milliseconds later the end under column 27 starts to drop much faster than the rest of the building. This is easiest to illustrate with a bunch of parallel lines, but only the still standing structure can really be trusted that it's level. Because of how far away the camera is, you can sort of use what you know about point perspective drawing and the top floors to see what level would be there.
All of these lines are parallel with each other and only use the top floors of the still standing building for reference on the angle of the line:
What actually first got me thinking about this was the ring video from 711. In the video you can hear a noise that woke it, and then a large box gets flipped to the right, and the popcorn ceiling that's probably raining down starts to lean to the right too. A wall starts to lean in the kitchen too, but I'm not sure how to interpret that part really. This pic is taken right after the second snap in the video, and it seems like the room is already leaning significantly to the right at this point if the ceiling is falling straight down. Something like this:
This angle also matches up very closely with the angle in the surveillance camera in the second frame I posted. Right after that the entire table starts to slide to the right within the room, and then the camera slides slightly to the right and mostly to the back of the room (south) in the very last second. I think at that point we're actually watching the building collapse from the inside and it cuts off around when the power cuts off. Video will have a slight delay when they're uploading externally, but it was probably around 100-500ms before it lost power (most of the US is reachable in around 120ms or so). I know some people think the video starts at the second boom, but based on statements from survivors that was actually a few minutes before this video starts and I don't think it ever picked it up. Or if it did, it's most likely in another video clip.. these things tend to end the clip within 5-30 seconds or so of the movement/sound ending.
With the view we saw of the inside garage too, I think this might be what's going on with the rubble in the tiktok video:
The object on the ground definitely seems to the be the only thing painted white, and the planter seems to have a bit of green on it. If you create a parallel line using most of the vertical lines in the pic (red line) it also looks like column is leaning a bit to the right towards the top of it, and the top looks broken off.
But my question is this.. is this possible? And could this one column failing have caused a collapse of the entire rest of the building? It seems like it could have caused serious damage to column 27 because of how that horizontal beam on the ceiling was tying them together. And with how skinny all of the columns are, and how soft they say the concrete is, it seems like that alone could have caused a complete collapse of the building. Just seems to make more sense than column 27 failing and the ones in blue as well, with the column between them seeming to collapse after the building starts to fall (because of how slowly that section falls compared to the rest of the floor). But perhaps I'm missing something?
Of course, this still doesn't explain why the column failed in the first place.
Videos I mention here so you don't have to go dig them up again:
Surveillance video of collapse from next door:
Ring video:
Tiktok video:
2020 view of the inside of the garage: