Well I managed to read through this thread last night and enjoyed conversation, but we seem to be missing some of the threads??, I am unsure why as the controvesy over hydrogen always shifts in the exact manner this thread represent last night. 1) efficiency of hydrogen generation distrubution and final use is not high.
2) green house gas emissions and other pollutants
lets not forget that hydrogen is already produced in large quantities for the manufacture of fertiliers and the petroleum industry. it can be achieved, what is stopping us "hydrogen storage" technology!!. who really cars if our vehicles are 10% efficient or 90% efficent!! If the car can drive 1000kms on one tank, the fuel is comparative in price to petrol and can be readily avalible plenty of petrol stations. if it has the advantage of being enviro friendly then governments will likely step in and mandate they be used.
A lot of people beleive hydrogen has a chicken and egg senerio as what comes first the cars or the stations? comments about certain companies having fuel cell vehicles ready by 2010 are certianly warranted, but the comment about fuel cells being 'Fool cells' is very incorrect. you are a fool not to have taken the time to find what market value fuel cells have at present and what they will have in the future.
there are many different types of fuel cells (further reading fuelcells.org) the type promoted for cars are the polymer electrolyte fuel cell PEFC where advancements are made readily and competition between companies is fierce. but there are others. such as Solid Oxide Fuel Cells (SOFC) these are made of ceramic materials and do not posses the same platinum poisoning that the PEFC's do. the fuel cells can use natural gas and even CO as a fuel. making them very practical for stationary applications. The efficiency of a fuel cell is defined by the gibbs free energy law and is not a a long shot above what a ICE is capable of, instead the quotes of 80% or even 90% are incorrecly made from not useing the HHV of hydrogen and assume the heat generated by the FC is also used. thus first application for FC's is not transport but stationary electrical power and heat.
CrystalClear I think maybe the reason for the removal of the reversible fuel cells from the document, is that out of all the types of fuels cells under developement progress from reversible fuel cells is the slowest and I only konw of one developer for applications on sailing boats in the 1-10Kw range. removing the noisey smelling diesels from the otherwise envir friendly moving boat.
Hydrogen is also not confined to use in fuel cells it can be easily used in ICE. it is capable of 20% more power from an ICE when direct injection is used. direct injection also solves some of the pre-ignition issues that have ocurred in past hydrogen ICE's. A bonus of hydrogen onboard is it's ability to be used as highly efficent reductant agent in NOx traps for lean engine operation ( a problem for diesels). BMW Ford and Mazda are exploring hydrogen internal combustion engines. Ford CEO beleives hydrogen IS the fuel of future and over 20 auto manufactures world wide have already built a FC's vehicles!! so if fool cells are foollish what are they doing?? spend billions because they can?? because governments are happy to hand them tax payers money? or is it because everybody appreciates clean air? and hydrogen provides an answer.
Well I don't think any bold statements about what I beleive hydrogens future is going to be worth while here, but I will leave you with the following senerio's
Vehicle emission restrictions are ever increasing
fuel standards are being raised (lower sulphur etc.)
catalytic converters are reaching there overall potential (start-up still a big problem)
Renewable electrical energy generation size is on the increase Fast!!. i.e wind turbines
some power plants are being refused due to there environmental consequences. redbank Vic aust.
For me these lead to one solution, we need to be able to use renewable electrical energy for almost all applications, since renwable energy can be unreliable we need to store it and hydrogen is the answer, while likely not the most efficient, the efficiency while important it is not the be all if you got a cheap renewable energy source in large quantities to begin with. it is only becomes a measure of the cheapest method of prod. distr. and final use. Take wind turbine competing with coal fired power and now as large as 5MW
lets take for example what most cities have to get people around "the bus". here in sydney we have had a succesful project converting most busses to run on natural gas where a small amount of diesel is used to ignite the nat gas. this has lowered emissions where it is most needed the city!
converting this bus to then use hydrogen instead of nat gas is another step in the evolution of lowering emissions. as long as the hydrogen was generated from a renewable source. nat gas does not like to be burned in a lean environment and for all u green house gas fans methane has 21 times the GHG potential of CO2 this means while nat gas busses lower particulate emissions they increase green house emissions over regular diesel, hydrogen like would solve this.
the trends that are going to combine for hydrogen use as a fuel are:
1) larger and larger renewable power stations be it wind, solar thermal, wave, geothermal.
2) Water in australia becoming harder and harder to come by inducing the need for a desalation plant in sydney!.
3) solid oxide fuel cells hitting a large market for use with natural gas. (once hydrogen pipes for distribution of renewable energy, hydrogen will likely be cheaper dispalcing the use of nat gas for electricy and heat)
4) hydrogen readily avaliable and cheap people begin to convert cars to hydrogen and fuel cell vehicles are finally reliable and cheap.
the problem is putting a timeline on these.
p.s crystal clear can you put a link up where all those diagrams came from I sore the other night? I liked what I sore I wish to follow them up. ;o)