well, rapt, I was not quoting Fling to say that there's no chance to get some good predictions of deflections; I am well aware of where I am in technical standup and thousands of publications make of me a shenanigan of the state of the art of so many professional things; for sure I wouldn't stand a head-on encounter with one Gilbert or one of the main programmers of one of the programs on the matter, like rapt, even with some significant previous dedication to the matter.
I was pointing mainly that the typical designer is not, as an average, in the conditions of making a good prediction; specially because they don't care to use something that can help him to do such thing, as good software.
For example, the one that made the 10 (or more!) times prediction was one of the Heads of the department of mechanical -here called industrial- engineering career in town. And no matter his entitlements reality showed him wrong, because the beam under study was built and working, and in place, not showing even such tenth of his aduced deflection.
That said, I also have seen 8" deflections in one member of scarce depth and about 20 ft span. It was quite likely a failed or nearly so member maybe as old as 60 yr old or more that was already working in catenary way, but who knows. These things, I also point, were not by the seventies' the realm of just minor construction, a whole Ministry of Commerce in Madrid, one of the tall buildings at the Castellana, maybe 40 or more stories tall had at construction time near 5" deflections -on 12 meter spans- plate with abaqus- entirely visible and it didn't enjoy even the charity of then receiving a technical floor, but just -it was told us, I don't know if it corresponds to the truth- was just to be filled with pavement mortar to level the surface.