whycliff-
The calculations assume that the cover is off. They also do not take into account the effects of relays, breakers, or other foreign matter in the way that may direct or deflect the arc. The 1584 AFB may not even be a worst case; there are just too many variables.
As far as I understand (not that I understand much) the IAC rating is just related to the ability of the equipment to interrupt the fault, i.e. it can withstand the magnetic forces, etc, associated with the fault. An arc flash calculation assumes that something else may have gone wrong, and an explosive event has occurred. The AIC rating does not address the ability to contain the arc flash / blast. For that there is the arc resistant rating, although I think that's also a little misleading.
So, to get back to your original post, you cannot assume that the flash will stop with the doors closed. The door may be blown open, but the resulting fireball and pressure increase in the enclosed panel will find an exit. Whether it is out a loose screw hole right at the workers face, or a conduit opening in the top is anyone's guess.