Assuming the bolt sees only torsional shearing and not a complex stress pattern from bending as well, the torsion formula should work as a good approximation, assuming the head shears off of the body.
The material's tensile strength is 586 MPa. The transition radius under the head should be 0.6mm, the head is 13mm in dia, and the body diameter looks to be 8mm.
Stress concentration ~ 1.46
max Shear stress = K * T*c/J
c = 7.78mm
J ~ pi*(d^4)/32 = 402 mm^4
max stress = 586 MPa
K ~ 1.46
586 MPa = 1.46 * T * 8mm / (402mm^4)
T ~ 20.2 N-m ~ 14.9 lbf-ft
Your mileage may vary, and my calculations may be wrong, so you'll probably still want to shear a screw to find out.