Bolts work.
As for the predictability of welds; if the welding is performed in accordance with a qualified WPS or when AWS D1.1 is the governing document, prequalified WPSs, are used by qualified welders, the resulting welds are quiet predictable.
The unpredictibility comes about when the welder isn't provided with the proper work instruction or they are not properly trained and qualified. Quality isn't free and therein lies the problem. Owners will agree to forgo the qualification requirements if they can "save money".
I've been involved with a number of failure investigations and I can say without hesitation that in each case the welders were not properly qualified and rarely did they have a WPS that provided them with the information needed.
The owner, through the Engineer bears, some responsibility in ensuring the contractor and the welders follow the applicable codes. All too often the system breaks down when the owner can save money by not enforcing the qualification of the welders, welding procedures, and follow through with meaningful quality assurance.
Doubling the size of a weld or over matching the filler metal rarely makes the weld "better" if the individual doesn't know how to weld.
I find it troubling when I receive drawings with notations such as "weld here", "weld as required", or when the welding symbol doesn't follow the conventions of the industry standard, i.e., AWS A2.4. I still see welding symbols that follow the conventions used prior to 1976, the date when welding symbols were revised extensively.
There's enough blame to pass around. We know how to deposit sound welds with properties equal to or exceeding the properties of the base metal, but it takes a team effort by people that understand the technology and are willing to makes sure each party involved does their part.
Just today I sent a memo to a detailer informing him that the welding symbols used for intermittent fillet welds were incorrect and we typically don't use filler metal having a tensile strength of 700 ksi to join carbon steel.
Best regards - Al