Water has a huge reflection unless you shape it. Dielectric of water is 81, hence it's impedance is 377(air)/(square root of 81=9)= 42 ohms.
Waveguide is usually 100-200 ohm type impedance, so if you had a waveguide with water at the end, there's alot of reflections. Loss is water is about 10 dB per inch travel. That was a measurement I did way back when in a water tub.
Regarding penetration thru the soil. One way to estimate the penetration is to take some soil, arrange it in tupperware of various thicknesses and place that in the microwave oven pressed up against the rf source end and see what happens. If it heats alot on one side and not at all on the other end, that'll give you the propagation length.
Clay is the highest loss soil, or so my memory says.
One problem that many people are working on is ground penetrating radar. Big problem since most soils are very lossy. Low frequencies like 30 Mhz are what's needed to penetrate soil. What depth are you trying for? I've heard of 900 Mhz microwave ovens in the rumor mill, that would be better than 2450 Mhz.
Raytheon made 50 kilowatt applicators for Shell Oil's Shale oil project way back when. The antennas needed to be 50-100 feet long and spaced 50 feet apart to heat the soil enough to liquify the oil in the shale. I think these were 10 Mhz units. Shell Oil advertised that for a long time after they knew it was a useless project that didn't get any results.
kch