rohack,
I would say that if you cannot make at least a few sample measurements, you won't go far and will be left with uncertainties in the order of 100% for the travel time.
More: if there are safety concerns connected with the withdrawal af a too hot plate, then I guess you'll need a check by reading the temperature at the end.
So you should seriously consider doing all that with one or two pyros.
If you really need to tightly control the travel time, there is a mixed solution, than can solve both your constraints: guess a travel time before starting and no pyro at the exit.
You can put a pyro at mid distance, another one at the start position (but this one is not necessary if the starting temperature is constant or known): then start the travel with a speed calculated as I proposed above taking
h=15 W/m
2°K for the whole surface of the plate (see below), check the resulting temperature at mid distance and adjust the speed for the second half (or stop the movement for a while). This procedure will also allow you to adjust the value of
h by the readings, guessing a better starting speed with experience.
Concerning the exchange on the lower face, then of course, as the reference by
IRstuff confirms, convection is almost absent there. However radiation is still present and it adds for more than 50% to the total exchange at your temeperatures. Also on the lower face you have the supporting bars, that, depending on how they are supported and connected to their supports, contribute to the exchange...
Trust me, this is a complex phenomenon (like most heat transfer problems) and a detailed calculation won't give you much.
prex
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