Hi Simon,
I think, first of all, we have to calculate the total electrical power loss which is dissipated in your battery at its operation conditions.
For this calculation, the internal resistance of the battery must be determined. Simply you can make two measurements to determine roughly the resistance value. first of these measurements is at no load condition. (measure the output terminal voltage). Then one more measurement under a known load conditions. now you can calculate internal resistance of your battery roughly by using measured voltage and current values.
Now we can calculate internal electrical power loss of the battery. (square of current times internal resistance)
Then a transformation can be made between electrical power value to its thermal equivalent.
And then (i am not sure anymore

)
you have to calculate total mass of lead, (I think mass of the others -liquid and plastic- can be ignored). (But if I were you, I don't)
Now the question turns to how much X(calculated)X kcals of thermal energy heats X(calculated)X kilograms of lead.
I think there is enough additional information in other posts which are sent before.
I hope, it will be helpful..
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