One thing that significantly impacts expansive failure of sidewalks and pavements, is impaction of the joints. If the joints have no capability of expansion, because of sand or other debris filling the joint space, then failures can occur.
Keep in mind that the temperature differential that must be considered is the temperature at the time of slab set vs. the max. temperature the slab will see. If the concrete was placed in cool weather and then subjected to high ambient temperatures, the effect will be greater than if the initial temperature was, say, 70 degrees F, and the maximum concrete temperature was, say, 95 degrees F.