Thanks guys for your useful inputs.
@ BigH: I fully agree on the significant degree of uncertainty related to settlements, what I'm out for though is some coherence into the conceptual framework which relates geotechnical settlements to the deflections used to calculate bending moments and shear in beams and mats structural analysis (using a Winkler soil model).
Going back to some old eng-tips threads, fattdad described the Winkler model as sensitive mostly to the more shallow layers, where the springs get in action. Another reading confirming that this seems to be the correct framework is Paul Mayne's "Unusual settlement..." article, which describes a case history of large setlements in a mat supporting a 13 floors building at Georgia tech.
So, the bottom line would be this pls correct me if something does not settle well with your reasonings and experience.
1) Mats (and other foundations types)must be analysed for structural integrity to bending moments and shear; a popular method to do this is by the coefficient of subgrade reaction. Such coefficient simplyfies the behaviour of soil at the soil-foundation interface. The moments and shear are governed by a depth of influence zp which is smaller than the depth of influence governing geotechnical settlements
2) After the structural check has been carried out by the above Winkler method, a further check should be carreid out, which involves the layers located further below those which govern structural integrity. This is the realm of geotechnical settlements, which may cause excessive total and differental settlements, cause of loss of serviceability to the structure, even if the foundations remain sound. Here the depth of influence zp is larger and approaches the values provided by you guys in the above threads, usually 2 to 4 B or a value determined by the 10% rule (Always in absence of a rigid shallow layer)
The above reasonings at least would put some order in the chaos which apparently rules the subject.
I've just been browsing the NIST publication 'Soil-Structure Interaction for Building Structures'.
The authors give a zp= (BL)0.5 where B=half width of foundation, L= half lenght of foudation.
So, depth of influence for a 10m*20m mat would be zp = 7 m, less than B actually. When calculating the settlements we usually would use a Greater depth, depending also upon the value of loading.
With the above rule, a square foundation has a depth of influence equal to half the lenght of its side.
Bottom line: geotechnical settlements analysis and settlements derived from SSI analysis are two different realms, we shouldn't mix them as this would be equivalent to mix apple with oranges. Long-term consolidation settlements are a subset of geotechnical settlements and should not be a part of SSI analysis, unless maybe the structural is interested in designing its slab considering the deflections caused by consolidation many years after building, if this makes some sense.
The post came out a little longer than foreseen, but pls gimme your opinions if the above sounds reasonable and if there are some aspects which I didn't include in my ruminations.