MatthewDB said:
I think that it will be DC "someday" but not anytime soon. Technology has a ways to go for limits of technology and the costs involved.
Its closer than you think
MatthewDB said:
It is true that AC is more complex. You have to worry about voltage control, stability and so on. But the claim AC is more difficult to engineer as systems grow runs into a massive obstacle: HV DC circuit breaker technology has a ways to go. Right now they're frightfully expensive and limited. When your system is always point to point, not a network, that is rather limiting.
As LEDs were frightfully expensive and limited in the 70s. Today I can buy 4 LED filament lamps for only 5 bucks. Less than a pack of halogen energy saving equivalents.
MatthewDB said:
Not that I see. Certainly not in the United States. 500kV AC can be buried now. Multiple HVDC island power supplies have been decommissioned and replaced with AC. New distribution in the US is almost always underground. The tradeoffs between overhead and underground is comparable for both. As an example, the HVDC systems in the US are all aboveground. They're that way because it's less cost, more reliable, and longer lived when we're talking about transmission voltages.
500kv AC can be buried, but for more than a few miles you need shunt reactors, often variable reactors and complex schemes to control voltage. Also Re-energizing large amounts of underground cable under light load after an outage is a nightmare. Beyond a certain point an underground cable will carry more reactive power than watts work power limiting the distance AC underground cables can go. Those VARS are a perfect example of the waste of material in AC power. Even with 15kv classes you have significant reactive "losses". Its now known that ferroresonance can even occur on a low loss wye gr-wye gr pad mount with enough URD.
Overhead AC lines are also limited. If you built an AC line from Maine to Los Angeles, the power would just radiate off into space.
I know people will bring up that there is no need to bury distribution and transmission- however I think time will force POCOs to entertain that. Consider the severe weather events the US has been plagued with for the last 10 years. Look at Puerto rico. Texas. The storms in Maryland. Just recently there was a Tornado/micro-burst event up in NY state and CT effecting New Fairfield, Southbury, Newtown, Seymour and a few other small towns. The event was only about 10 minutes per area, but it was so destructive people were without power for 5 days, on average some 2 weeks with entire chunks of the distribution system needing to be rebuilt. I am talking about literally hundreds if not a thousand broken poles, hundreds of transformers and miles of reconductoring- enough crews and material for a whole state after a hurricane. Crews from hundreds of miles out of state. In the past New York, New Jersey, New England, ect had Irene, Sandy, a freak October snow storm, a dozen ice storms, smaller tornado events, a lot of serve thunderstorms each of which are considered to be a 100-150 year event. If overhead lines need to be rebuilt every year, eventually going underground will look attractive.
MattewDB said:
How so?
Just because solar panels are DC doesn't mean you can hang them on a DC power line. They have a 2:1 voltage range and you need maximum power point optimization that varies with insolation level and temperature.
Just because battery technology is DC doesn't mean you can just float it on the system. LiIon batteries voltage over the charge / discharge cycle varies around 40% you can't let it vary that much.
Ultra caps can be connected directly across the line. No need to rectify DC to charge them, then use an inverter to put it back. No need to transform DC when the caps are rated 25kv, 165kv, ect.
If you have DC distribution with either, you have to have a DC-DC converter. If you go with AC, you can have a inverter do the same job (you design the inverter for a large modulation index). Typical large inverters today are 97%-98% efficient. The inverter's advantage is you can hang a transformer on it and have any voltage you want out. With DC, you either are forced to match the battery and line voltage or have a more complex isolated DC-DC converter.
A 50/60Hz trafo is massive, a khz unit is much, much smaller. Plus an inverter to make 3 perfect sine waves is more complex than just something that spits out DC to feed into a T or D line.
MatthewDB said:
I'm not so sure of that. UHV AC was initially developed by the US, Russia and Japan. Other than some 765kV in the US, it hasn't been used much here. Russia has backed down and Japan never implemented anything over 400kV. Since then, India and China have become the leaders in UHV AC. India has achieved a single grid and now operates the largest grid in the world. They still use less power than the US, but the US has 3 major grids, not one. China is headed to a single grid someday. The Eastern and Western interconnections could be synchronized at 765kV by extending AEP's system West just as well as it could be connected more than at present with DC.
All the more reason to have everything DC. The larger you go, the more attractive DC becomes. This becomes substantial when you add renewables which are only reducing the critical clearing time of the bulk power system. Engineers are seeing places where the breaker failure time is actually the CCT. I'm seeing substations now with series AC breakers...
1st: That conversion has to be done for many sources and loads. Anything powered mechanically is an AC generator with conversion. Anything generating mechanical motion is an AC motor with conversion. (Even a "DC" motor is an AC motor with a mechanical inverter.) So you have to add inverters that aren't needed in an AC system.
Correct- But inverters are needed in solar, fuels cells, variable speed generators ect. Solar will only grow and grow, spinning fossil turbines will only dwindle.
MathewDB said:
2nd: Every change of voltage requires converting DC to AC and back again after a transformation. Non-isolated converters like buck and boost don't send 100% of the power through AC, some goes through at DC; this is analogous to an auto-transformer where some power is transformed and some is coupled galvanically. The advantage is that the frequency can be optimized for the transformer, but when you get to big power, it's only going to be 100's of Hz at the most.
Elaborate. Why can't I use Khz on a 600MVA galvanic isolation trafo?
MAthewDB said:
With an AC system, you have at most one electronic conversion with losses. With DC, you've got many more. Remember, you can't have one voltage. At a minimum, you need 4 different voltages. Bulk transmission (100s of kV to 1MV), local transmission (50-200kV), distribution (10-30kV) and utilization (mostly <1kV). That's a lot more AC-DC conversions than you have in a AC system.
Who says the DC-AC-DC conversion from to from each voltage level will be lossier? Even if so, the smaller size of the DC trafos, reduced transmission line lose, reduced T lines materials, ect will make even an 8% loss attractive.
MAthewDB said:
And? Most SMPS / DC loads are required to be harmonic free. Computers, servers, LED lamps, electric vehicle chargers, solar inverters, battery storage, etc are all low harmonics. Active harmonic filters are going mainstream for those loads that are not.
Again, why more material and equipment? Its cheaper without the filter.
MathewDB said:
That's not conclusive, at least from what I've ever heard.
Care to be the guinea pig that finds out? I think not. What is esoteric knowledge today will be common knowledge tomorrow. At one point doctors were advocating the health benefits of cigarettes. Who am I in 1955 from 2018 to question a doctor? Or companies making handsome profit where any evidence to the contrary opens major lawsuits.
MathewDB said:
How is the dominant system that supplies 99% of the world's power "impractical"?
The majority is not always right. Burning fossil fuels gave life to billions of people, gave rise to nations, and creates plastics just to name a few. But coal, oil, ect is not practical because several hundred years from now it will run out. Assuming the environment will tolerate it by then... In sort its not practical to continue doing so.