I am trying to understand how, once all the branches of the Event Tree Analysis are defined, it is possible to decide if a fire scenario should be analysed with a simulation. I don't know an 'a priori' criterion to quantitatively assess the damage (deaths or money), and I don't know which probability should be the threshold to discard a scenario labelling it as "not credible". I don't have the ISO/TS 16733, but I found some reports and books citing this code.
Do you know which is the criterion to select a scenario to assess its consequence with a numerical calculation or to discard it?
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