DCS -
You may be right today. For the past 10 years the internet has been very accurate leaving scoffers behind if you look at before, after and the results.
Now, the area is becoming based more on general commerce/business and not just petroleum, so it could be compromised depending on the politicians. - At least the U.S. Congress will have little effect. You could even see the Indian and Chinese money coming into play, even though they have little presence outside of a very, very small percentage of their population working there. - It is a good way of draining off the money coming back. They also can make much of the equipment used.