Consider what happened in the Columbia tragedy. NASA knew that a large chunk of foam had come off and hit the wing at 400 mph, and they knew how roughly how large and how heavy the piece was. While the shuttle was in orbit, they decided to check and see whether the foam strike was likely to have done serious damage, so they got hold of an engineer at Lockheed and asked him to run some calculations, which were reportedly executed on an Excel spreadsheet. He used an empirical formula developed many years before by others, which he was apparently unfamiliar with, and which was intended to apply only to very small objects (such as micro-meteorites) hitting the foam. This gave a completely erroneous (and highly optimistic) answer, presumably because the mass of an object increases as the cube of the leading dimension, but the projected area increases as the square. Now I am not saying that it would have made any difference if this guy had found the correct answer, and it's easy to be wise after the event, but I think some would agree that it is food for thought.