Kootk - the discussion is about quick ways to check upper bound deflection. The question is not whether working on the basis of the reinforcement alone is an upper bound, obviously it is, but then so is span/2, or height of mid-span above ground level. The question is, is it grossly over-conservative. Your sketches suggest it might be, at least for a lightly reinforced section. Looking more closely at the position of the neutral axis, and the associated steel strain it can be seen that there is a limit to the curvature ratio (compared with a fully cracked-section), as seen in the example calculations, but that isn't obvious from the sketch.
In practice, I wouldn't use any of the approximate methods to check deflection. It's just as quick to plug the numbers into a spreadsheet and do a more accurate calculation, but I would do a quick cross-check of neutral axis position and steel strain to make sure the numbers make sense.
On other points raised:
Deflection calculation is a "black art":
I disagree. In my experience, where sections have deflected more than expected, if you do a detailed calculation, including all sources of deflection, the resulting number is close to or greater than the actual deflection. It should be accepted that the "exact" calculation is still an upper bound. In the actual structure the actual maximum moments may be less, the concrete tensile strength may be greater, creep and shrinkage may be less, and differential effects may act to reduce deflections, rather than increase them, so the actual deflection in many members can easily be half or less than the calculated value. That's not important though; it's the maximum deflection that is important, and that can be calculated reasonably accurately, if reasonable upper bound values are used for all the unknowns (including differential temperature, which hardly ever gets mentioned for some reason).
Effectiveness of the compression reinforcement:
Why not just include it in the calculation? Often in slabs it doesn't make much difference, but sometimes it does, so why not include it?
Confinement of compression reinforcement:
I haven't checked the N. American codes, but in the Australian code confinement reinforcement is specifically required for compression reinforcement in beams, if it is required for strength, but there is no requirement if it is for deflection control, or for compression reinforcement in slabs. This makes sense because at service loads spalling will not be a problem, but the compression reinforcement (if it is actually in the compression zone) will have some effect on deflections, albeit usually fairly small.
Finally, for anyone in Sydney on 18th May, please book into the Concrete Institute seminar on Finite Element Analysis, where I will be talking about using computers to understand how structures actually behave (with a focus on deflections), rather than as a tool for design automation.
Doug Jenkins
Interactive Design Services