In my experience, the loss (from volume of exc in the borrow area to volume of compacted fill) is generally much larger than the borrow-area and compacted densities would indicate. There is always some spilled from trucks, rejected, blown away, overbuilt and bladed off, lost under seat cushions, etc. If you are evaluating a borrow area's available volume, allow for quite a bit more than just the ~20% "shrinkage." Bedrock may be higher than expected in the borrow area, or you may need to reject more material for being too wet or having wrong gradation, or there may be an overrun so you need more than you plan on, etc. For dam construction, we have generally tried to prove out 150% of expected need on big jobs, and 200% on small jobs, although we have to be more finicky about materials than most people do.