Tom...I don't know if the winter temperature gradient would be greater than the summertime gradient because a number of variables are in play. I expect there would be a large difference between what temperature must the bottom of the pavement be heated to thaw the surface when them ambient temperature is 25° (small gradient) vs. if the ambient temperature is -40° (large gradient), and the slab thickness would also make a significant difference. Other factors that contribute to curling may accentuate the problem in summer or winter, or they may moderate the effect of temperature alone. If your winters are cold enough, the winter differentials certainly could be greater than summer.
Also, the summertime temperature differential's effect on the pavement may not be a good predictor of the same amount of differential in the winter because the any curling would be in the opposite direction. A pavement warm on the bottom, cold on top would tend to curl the edges upward (away from edge base support), but the summertime differential would create forces in the opposite direction (toward edge support, away from support in center area). I would guess that the wintertime type curling would be more likely to produce longitudinal cracking due to reduced support under loading than would an equal differential of summertime type curling.