Are you just looking for the theoretical load that could have caused the permanent deformation, or are you looking for an accurate estimate of the actual load that was applied? I feel like these two values could be quite far apart.
On the theoretical side, I think it would be as simple as determining the moment at which the beam section yields, and then calculating the point load that induces that moment given the span and support conditions. This theoretical value wouldn't consider the actual yield strength of the material, the actual cross sectional dimensions (compared to the book values), and the fixity of your fixed end.
If you're looking to get an accurate estimate of the actual load that was applied, I think its going to get somewhat complicated. Among other things, I think you'd need to determined:
[ul]
[li]The actual fixity you're getting at the fixed end[/li]
[li]The actual yield strength of the material[/li]
[li]Accurate cross section of the beam[/li]
[li]Accurate measurement of the existing deformations[/li]
[/ul]