The external forces heavily depend on the piping/duct arrangement, materials, temperatures, etc. Duct is generally more flexible, so if the service can allow a fabric expansion joint or something maybe minimal forces will be imparted. Some companys/vendors have a "standard allowable nozzle load table" that is derived from some conservative conditions that I haven't really seen defined.
Generally vendors do FEA calculations on the nozzle/vessel to determine the allowable loads. These loads representing loads that result in acceptable stresses, deflections, etc with the appropriate safety factors applied.