A model presented at the following web site:
will show the soil temperature variation as a function of depth. According to the model, the soil temperature is essentially constant beyond depths of 10 feet at a value equal to the average of the annual maximum and minimum air temperatures. The temperature at depths of 10 feet or more typically vary less than 1 degree from the annual average temperature.
Heat transfer to the soil is dependent on the soil temperature which changes depending on the time of the year (for depths less than 10 ft), the soil moisture content, soil type, whether the soil is underneath an object (such as a floor) or adjacent to the side of the object (such as a basement wall), object shape, (flat slab, corner of a building, pipe), soil surface orientation (north vs south), ground cover type. So, the calculation of heat transfer can carry a significant uncertainty.
A report from the US Department of Energy (
discusses the modeling of heat transfer from buildings to the ground. Although the report relies on a sophisticated numerical model, key conclusions are 1) “soil thermal conductivity is the most important parameter in determining” ground heat transfer; 2) the soil thermal conductivity can change by a factor of 10 based on soil moisture content; 3) the soil moisture content varies significantly only near the surface of the soil.
A simplified method for heat transfer calculations from the University of Colorado can be found here:
The key parameter in this simplified model is the soil thermal conductivity.
A paper from University of California, Berkeley (
) estimates thermal conductivities as a function of soil mineral content and moisture content. The reported thermal conductivities range from about 0.25 W/m/K for 0% water content to 1.0 W/m/K for 50% water content.
Hope this helps.