You make a fairly easy evaluation by using the basic Heat Transfer formula Q=A.U.LMTD
By measuring the inlet/outlet temperature on both sides you can calculate the LMTD. Further you can also estimate the Duty (Q). Then you can establish your AU value. This will be done for the base operation.
Then for the new operation, you will certainly have a new Q and a new LMTD from your simulations. THen you can calculate how much the new AU value is. IF the new AU value is by far greater than the Base UA, then your exchanger is undersized. If it's lower, the chance is that your exchanger will be performing wel.
Note: If you wanna be conservative, you may wanna debit your new UA value let's say by 10% or so.
But there are also some software like HTRI that can be used to evaluate an exchanger, but you must have some experiece in that first. It's not a very easy tool to use.