I'm just posting a question on this topic for some further discussion: Will this weir always convey flow? If this is a ditch and there is some measured flow (as governed by the weir) only during storms, the question pertaining to the "water table" level seems irrelavent - at the time of flow the surface water would be perched and likely not connected to the phreatic surface. Now if the flow lasted for a matter of days or weeks, there may be some infiltration to "mound" the phreatic surface and there may become some bouyant affects, but this may or may not be the case. This is the problem with transient flow problems.
I agree that the absence of unbalanced earth pressures means that the overturning forces are water pressure (both static and dynamic) and (good point) ice. This problem requires a free body diagram showing all external forces and then sum the forces and moments to see just how much of the passive earth pressure is mobilized. The way the questions have responded so far, the sense is that you would look at this as a plane strain problem. Heck if the weir is only a few feet square, you may also want to look a the forces along the sidewalls too - don't have these details.
Regarding seepage forces, cutoff walls, etc. The chance of blowing out the weir is pretty great if you don't account for internal drainage along (around) the edges of all concrete. There are conditions where gravel can be your friend as it's not prone to piping failure. Without some design sketches, however I could be way off track. . .
Good luck on your project.
f-d
¡papá gordo ain’t no madre flaca!