Future climate predictions

[1503-44]

https://projects.propublica.org/climate-migration/

 

[SnTMan]

So the models say

The problem with sloppy work is that the supply FAR EXCEEDS the demand

 

[JoshPlumSE]

Thanks for sharing. It's very interesting. I like the focus on multiple items.... temperature, humidity, suitability for crops, suitability for human comfort, sea rise.

It doesn't seem nearly so "alarmist" as many of the other projections I've seen. One thing that I'm skeptical of is the reduction in crop yield.... The problem with that sort of thing is that it doesn't account for innovation. Crop yields are always going up.... because farming technology is always improving.

 

[IRstuff]

Crop yields are always going up.... because farming technology is always improving.

Up to a point. EVERY technology has a bell-shaped life curve; agriculture is possibly near its peak. Even Moore's Law is running out of steam, lasting 40 years longer than initially predicted. Desperation certainly will drive some additional mileage, much like how UV lithography clung on for forty years after x-ray lithography reared its ugly head in the 1980s

TTFN (ta ta for now)
I can do absolutely anything. I'm an expert!

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[1503-44]

That farm technology better work for crop water supply , as that is one thing that isn't likely going to be increasing. The upside is that Canada, Greenland, Scandinavia and Russia will have a longer growing season, if the sunlight supply holds up. Mushrooms?

I'm not sure how far the gene splicing tech can go.

 

[1503-44]

Tinman. Step outside your AC office sometimes.

 

[IRstuff]

They're going to have longer growing seasons, but possibly much less rainfall.

TTFN (ta ta for now)
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[hokie66]

Or possibly much more rainfall. No one knows.

 

[1503-44]

Or prepare for both. The minimum theory is that extreme periods of one or another will become more common.