I don't know the equation, but I recall that our catalyst manufacturer (Cormetech) uses some form of equation involving some pretty nasty log functions, and it may be specific for each catalyst makeup and also proprietary. At any rate, given such an equation, you would most likely need to know the current reactivity of the catalyst, and the NOX reduction as a relation to design parameters for starters. We are a coal-based plant that tried to measure slip from fly ash without success and we now perform a wet chemistry analysis on a flue gas sample taken before the air heater. There is instrumentation becoming available to analyze slip, but we are cautious as it only measures in one point of the flue, and would be correct only if the flue gas was homogenous which we know that it is not. Any calculated value would only be as good as the input data, and based on the variances we're seeing in catalyst reactivities between operating seasons, may not provide the accuracy you're looking for.