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Low Side Reservoir Detection

Low Side Reservoir Detection

(OP)
Hi all,

I am currently in the some technical studies to aid in the detection of the outcome of the reservoir when it comes on production in a few years. The purpose of the study is to determine how to identify if the reservoir is a low outcome (P90) rather than the P50 outcome using different techniques.

A few ideas I have are to run simulation of the reservoir model and plot reservoir pressures with time between the low and mid outcomes for the first few years of production. If reservoir pressure declines too fast then a low side outcome may be probable.

A second idea is to use analogue field production and pressure data. The analogue data contains 20+ years of production/reservoir data. My aim is to use the first few years of the reservoir pressure and try and apply some trends/analysis on it to predict the outcome.

I would appreciate any suggestions or ideas on how to maybe use the analogue data to help aid in this study or if anyone has had experience/other techniques to aid the reservoir outcome detection through simulation or first few years of production data.

Many thanks in advance



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